How Many People Are Named Ava Smith?

Statistical full-name demographic model combining official Social Security & Census data

⚡ Quick AnswerStatistical Model (SSA 1880–2024 · Census Surnames)

Under our demographic statistical model, an estimated ~1,640 living people in the United States share the full name Ava Smith.

Estimated Full-Name Count
~1,640 People
First Name: Ava
~198,049 Living (Rank #28)
Surname: Smith
2,442,977 Census (Rank #1)
First Name Profile

Ava

Ava ranks as the #28 most common given name in U.S. Social Security history, with an estimated 198,049 living bearers nationwide.

View full Ava demographic & history profile →
Surname Profile

Smith

Smith ranks as the #1 most frequent surname in official U.S. Census Bureau tabulations, representing 2,442,977 individuals across decennial returns.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Surnames

How We Estimate Full-Name Frequency

Because privacy laws prevent the release of individualized master population rosters, statistical demographic models use the law of independent probabilities to estimate full-name frequencies:

P(Ava Smith) ≈ P(Ava) × P(Smith) × U.S. Population

1. First-Name Frequency: Based on historical SSA birth registrations adjusted by CDC life table actuarial survival rates.
2. Surname Frequency: Based on official U.S. Census Bureau decennial surname tabulations.
3. Mathematical Note: First and last names do not always distribute with complete independence across all ethnic sub-populations. This figure represents an evidence-grounded statistical estimate rather than an exact physical roll-call.

Related Full-Name Combinations

Explore demographic estimates for other combinations featuring Ava or Smith:

Frequently Asked Questions About Ava Smith

How many people in the U.S. have the full name Ava Smith?

Based on joint demographic modeling of Social Security and Census datasets, an estimated 1,640 living people in the United States share the full name Ava Smith.

Is this an exact count of living individuals named Ava Smith?

No. This is a statistical estimate calculated from independent first-name and surname distributions. The U.S. government does not publish a direct enumeration of identifiable full names for privacy reasons.

How is the Ava Smith full-name estimate calculated?

We calculate the joint probability of having the first name Ava (~198,049 living bearers) and the surname Smith (~2,442,977 Census occurrences) across the U.S. population under the statistical independence assumption.

What data sources are used?

Our model utilizes official U.S. Social Security Administration (SSA 1880–2024) birth applications, CDC/NCHS actuarial life tables for cohort survival, and U.S. Decennial Census surname frequency tabulations.

First-Name Source: SSA 1880–2024Surname Source: Census Decennial SurnamesMethodology Version: 1.0.0Privacy: Statistical aggregate only (no private identifiable records)
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